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Sticky inflation, cooling house prices: Inside the RBA’s rates dilemma

Published July 30, 2026 at 9:02 PM UTC

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Australia's Reserve Bank (RBA) faces a complex challenge: balancing persistent inflation with a cooling housing market. In June 2026, the RBA maintained the cash rate at 4.35%, following three consecutive rate hikes earlier in the year.

Inflation remains above the RBA's target, prompting concerns about its persistence. The housing market, however, shows signs of cooling, with property prices stabilizing or declining in some areas. This presents a dilemma for the RBA, which must decide whether to adjust interest rates to curb inflation without further impacting the housing sector.

The RBA's decision to hold rates steady reflects a cautious approach, aiming to assess the effects of previous rate increases and monitor economic developments. The next policy meeting is scheduled for August 11, 2026, where the RBA will review economic indicators to determine its next steps.

For homeowners, the current rate environment means mortgage repayments remain elevated, potentially affecting household budgets and spending. Prospective homebuyers may find it more challenging to enter the market due to higher borrowing costs. The RBA's forthcoming decisions will be crucial in shaping the economic landscape, influencing both inflation trends and the housing market's trajectory.