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Warning against underestimating El Niño's potential severity in Australia

Published July 30, 2026 at 9:02 PM UTC

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While proactive measures are essential, experts caution against underestimating the potential severity of the current El Niño event. The Bureau of Meteorology's declaration of a record-breaking El Niño underscores the need for heightened vigilance and preparedness.

Dr. Carly Tozer, CSIRO Senior Research Scientist, notes, "El Niño is only one factor associated with drought in Australia. An El Niño points to possible drier conditions and an increased risk of drought. Droughts occur after an extended period, such as more than a year, of much lower-than-average rainfall."

The rapid warming of the Pacific Ocean towards El Niño conditions has firmed up the odds that Australia faces a warm and dry second half to 2026.

Authorities and communities are urged to remain vigilant, continuously monitor weather patterns, and be prepared to implement additional measures as the situation evolves. Acknowledging the potential for unprecedented conditions is crucial in mitigating the impacts of droughts and bushfires.