In recent developments within Australian politics, the One Nation party has intensified its focus on challenging Labor-held seats in the forthcoming by-elections. This strategic move follows their historic victory in the Farrer by-election, where David Farley secured the seat previously held by the Liberal Party.
The Farrer by-election, held on 9 May 2026, marked a significant milestone for One Nation, as it was the first time the party won a lower house seat in federal parliament. Farley, an agricultural businessman, garnered 39.5% of the primary vote, defeating independent candidate Michelle Milthorpe. This outcome has emboldened One Nation to set its sights on other Labor strongholds.
One of the key targets for One Nation is the seat of Secret Harbour in Western Australia. The seat became vacant following the resignation of Labor MP Paul Papalia, who cited family health concerns as the reason for his departure. Papalia had secured 61.5% of the two-party preferred vote in the 2025 election, indicating a strong Labor presence in the area.
In response to One Nation's growing influence, the Labor Party has been actively seeking support to counter the rise of the party. Labor has appealed to its supporters for donations, aiming to bolster its campaign efforts against One Nation's encroachment.
The Coalition parties have also been reevaluating their strategies in light of One Nation's successes. Opposition leader Angus Taylor has ruled out any seat-sharing arrangements with One Nation, emphasizing the need for the Coalition to maintain its own identity and policies.
As the by-elections approach, the political landscape in Australia is witnessing a shift, with One Nation emerging as a formidable contender in traditionally Labor-held seats. The outcomes of these by-elections could have significant implications for the balance of power in Australian politics.