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Trump's new 50% tariffs will hit these 3 provinces the hardest, crippling some industries

Published July 25, 2026 at 8:32 AM UTC

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President Donald Trump has announced new 50% tariffs on key Canadian exports, a move that economists say will hit three provinces harder than the rest of the country. Ontario, Quebec, and Alberta are expected to bear the brunt due to their heavy reliance on cross-border trade in automotive products, aluminum, and energy. The tariffs, which come amid ongoing renegotiations of the USMCA, threaten to cripple industries that depend on integrated North American supply chains. In Ontario, the auto sector faces immediate disruption, as many parts cross the border multiple times before final assembly. Quebec's aluminum smelters, already facing global overcapacity, could see exports to the United States plummet. Alberta's oil and gas sector, a major supplier to US refineries, may lose its competitive edge. The broader Canadian economy risks a sharp slowdown, with GDP growth forecasts being revised downward. Business groups are calling for federal support and urging both governments to return to the negotiating table. Retaliatory tariffs on US goods are being considered, but such a trade war would inflict pain on both sides. The next steps remain uncertain, but the immediate impact on Canadian workers and communities is clear.