The race for Toronto's next mayor is becoming increasingly competitive, with incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow maintaining a lead over challenger Councillor Brad Bradford. A recent poll by Liaison Strategies, conducted between June 28 and June 30, 2026, surveyed 1,000 Toronto residents and revealed that Chow holds 49% support among decided and leaning voters, while Bradford has garnered 40%. An additional 10% of respondents are considering other candidates.
This marks a slight shift from previous polls. In May, Chow led with 50% support, and Bradford was at 37%. David Valentin, principal at Liaison Strategies, noted that while Chow still leads by nine points among decided voters, Bradford has gained momentum. "The movement since May is toward Bradford," Valentin said.
Bradford, who officially registered to run for mayor on May 1, 2026, has been actively engaging with voters, emphasizing practical solutions to city challenges. He aims to address issues such as housing, transit, and fiscal management.
Chow, who won the 2023 byelection to replace John Tory, has not yet announced her candidacy for the upcoming election. She continues to focus on her current role as mayor, with plans to discuss the election at a later date.
The municipal election is scheduled for October 26, 2026, and with the race tightening, both candidates are expected to intensify their campaigns in the coming months.