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Majority of Canadians don't want Ottawa to sell Trans Mountain pipeline, despite $34B cost: poll

Published August 7, 2026 at 8:33 AM UTC

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A recent public opinion survey indicates that a majority of Canadians oppose the federal government selling the Trans Mountain pipeline, even as the project's total cost has ballooned to approximately $34 billion. The findings suggest that despite the significant financial burden placed on taxpayers, there is little public appetite for the government to divest from the energy infrastructure asset at this time. The pipeline, which carries crude oil from Alberta to the British Columbia coast, remains a focal point of national economic and environmental debate.

The federal government purchased the pipeline from Kinder Morgan in 2018 for $4.5 billion, aiming to ensure the project's completion after private investors grew wary of regulatory and legal hurdles. Since that acquisition, the cost of expanding the pipeline has escalated dramatically due to construction challenges, inflation, and environmental mitigation requirements. This massive increase in spending has sparked ongoing criticism regarding the government's management of the project and its ultimate value to the public purse.

Public sentiment appears divided by regional and political lines, yet the overall trend shows a reluctance to see the asset sold off. Many Canadians seem to prioritize the strategic importance of energy security and market access for Canadian oil over the immediate recovery of the capital invested. The survey highlights the difficulty the government faces in balancing fiscal responsibility with the long-term goals of the energy sector.

Moving forward, the government must decide how to eventually transition the pipeline back to the private sector or maintain it as a crown corporation. The path to recouping the $34 billion investment remains unclear, and the public's stance adds a layer of political complexity to any future sale. Observers will be watching to see how the government manages the operational phase of the pipeline and whether it can demonstrate long-term profitability to justify the massive public expenditure.

Potential Benefits / Supporting Perspective

Supporting the federal retention of the Trans Mountain pipeline

Proponents of the federal government maintaining ownership of the Trans Mountain pipeline argue that the asset is a vital piece of national infrastructure that serves the broader public interest. By keeping the pipeline under government control, Canada ensures that its natural resources reach international markets, which is essential for the country's economic stability and energy independence. The decision to purchase the line in 2018 was a necessary intervention to prevent the collapse of a project that private industry could no longer sustain under the existing regulatory climate.

From this perspective, the $34 billion cost is viewed as a long-term investment in Canada's energy future rather than a simple business loss. The pipeline provides a critical link for Alberta's oil producers to reach Pacific markets, reducing reliance on the United States and potentially securing better prices for Canadian crude. Supporters emphasize that the government is better positioned than private entities to manage the complex environmental and Indigenous consultation processes that accompany such large-scale projects.

Furthermore, selling the pipeline now could be seen as a fire sale that would fail to capture the long-term value of the asset. By holding onto the pipeline, the government can ensure that it operates in a manner consistent with national environmental standards while generating steady revenue through tolls. This approach allows the state to act as a steward of a strategic asset, ensuring that the benefits of the energy sector are realized for the benefit of all Canadians rather than being subject to the short-term profit motives of private shareholders.

Looking ahead, the focus remains on operational efficiency and maximizing throughput. As the pipeline reaches full capacity, the revenue generated will begin to offset the initial construction costs. Maintaining ownership provides the government with the flexibility to integrate the pipeline into broader climate and energy policies, ensuring that the project remains a cornerstone of the national economy for decades to come.

Potential Drawbacks / Critical Perspective

Questioning the fiscal burden of the Trans Mountain pipeline

Critics of the government's continued ownership of the Trans Mountain pipeline argue that the $34 billion price tag represents a massive misallocation of public funds that could have been better spent elsewhere. The project has become a symbol of government overreach and fiscal mismanagement, with costs ballooning far beyond initial estimates. Skeptics maintain that the government should never have entered the energy business in the first place, as it exposes taxpayers to the inherent risks of the volatile oil and gas market.

For many, the primary concern is the opportunity cost of the billions spent on the pipeline. These funds could have been directed toward healthcare, housing, or the transition to renewable energy sources, which would provide more tangible benefits to the average citizen. The fact that the project is now a state-owned enterprise creates a conflict of interest, as the government is now both the regulator and the owner of a major fossil fuel project, which complicates its ability to meet climate change commitments.

Opponents also point out that the market for oil is changing, and the long-term viability of the pipeline is increasingly uncertain. As global demand shifts toward cleaner energy, there is a significant risk that the pipeline will become a stranded asset, leaving taxpayers to foot the bill for a project that may never achieve profitability. The reluctance to sell the pipeline, as reflected in public opinion, may be based on a misunderstanding of the financial risks involved, but critics argue that the government has a duty to protect the public from such long-term liabilities.

Ultimately, the call is for the government to develop a clear exit strategy to divest from the pipeline as soon as possible. Continuing to pour money into the project only deepens the fiscal hole and delays the inevitable need for the private sector to take on the risks associated with energy infrastructure. Accountability requires that the government acknowledge the failure of this investment and seek to minimize further losses for the Canadian taxpayer.