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Strong El Niño Impact on Southwest Monsoon Will Have Far-Reaching Consequences, Warn Experts

Published July 10, 2026 at 10:35 AM UTC

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The emergence of a strong El Niño in the Pacific Ocean is poised to significantly influence India's southwest monsoon, with experts warning of potential far-reaching consequences. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has officially declared the development of El Niño, noting that it is expected to strengthen further during the monsoon season.

El Niño, characterized by warmer-than-usual sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, has been linked to various climatic anomalies worldwide. In India, previous El Niño events have been associated with below-normal rainfall, leading to drought conditions and adversely affecting agriculture. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has also highlighted the likelihood of below-normal rainfall over the Indian subcontinent during the June-September period due to the strengthening El Niño.

The United Nations Secretary-General, António Guterres, has described the impending El Niño as an "urgent climate warning," emphasizing its potential to exacerbate global warming effects. Experts are particularly concerned about the impact on India's agriculture, water resources, and overall economy. The monsoon season is crucial for the country's agricultural activities, and any disruption can lead to significant challenges.

In response to these developments, the IMD has been closely monitoring the situation and issuing regular updates. The department has advised farmers and stakeholders to prepare for potential challenges and to adopt water-conservation measures. Additionally, the government is being urged to implement strategies to mitigate the adverse effects of the anticipated climatic changes.

As the El Niño event continues to evolve, it is imperative for all sectors to stay informed and take proactive steps to address the challenges posed by this climatic phenomenon.