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Temasek’s 10.5% returns: Why a record portfolio value matters more than short-term noise

Published July 12, 2026 at 8:11 PM UTC

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Temasek Holdings recently reported a record net portfolio value of S$518 billion for the financial year ending March 31, 2026. The state-owned investment firm achieved a one-year total shareholder return of 10.5 per cent, a figure that has drawn mixed reactions from observers comparing it to broader market benchmarks. While some critics argue that these returns are modest given the recent bull run in global equities, analysts emphasize that Temasek’s mandate as a generational investor prioritizes long-term resilience over short-term market fluctuations.

The growth in portfolio value was largely driven by the strong performance of Singapore-based listed companies and gains from strategic divestments. Despite ongoing global volatility, including tensions in the Middle East and currency headwinds, Temasek managed to deploy S$51 billion in new investments while divesting S$31 billion. This active rebalancing reflects the firm's strategy to navigate a complex, polycrisis world by focusing on sustainable, long-term growth rather than chasing immediate, high-risk gains.

Temasek has also fully transitioned to mark-to-market reporting, a move designed to provide a more transparent and up-to-date view of its portfolio value. By valuing both listed and unlisted investments using market-based approaches, the firm aligns itself with global institutional peers. This transparency is intended to enhance risk management and performance measurement, allowing stakeholders to better understand the firm’s exposure to various market cycles.

Looking ahead, Temasek is sharpening its focus on structural trends, specifically artificial intelligence, core-plus infrastructure, and private credit. The firm plans to increase its exposure to AI-related companies to 15 per cent of its portfolio by 2031, up from the current 6 per cent. By targeting these high-growth areas, Temasek aims to ensure its portfolio remains competitive and future-ready, balancing the need for innovation with the stability required of a sovereign wealth fund.