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Oil jumps 4% as US and Iran step up tit-for-tat strikes

Published July 13, 2026 at 8:14 AM UTC

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Global oil prices surged by 4 percent this week as tensions between the United States and Iran escalated following a series of retaliatory military strikes. The spike reflects growing market anxiety that the ongoing conflict could disrupt crude oil supplies from the Middle East, a region critical to global energy production. Investors are closely monitoring the situation as the potential for a wider regional confrontation increases.

This latest friction follows a period of heightened instability in the Persian Gulf, where both nations have engaged in periodic military posturing. The current cycle of violence began after recent attacks on regional assets, prompting the United States to launch targeted strikes against Iranian-backed groups. Iran has responded with its own military actions, creating a volatile environment that has spooked financial markets.

Energy traders are particularly concerned about the security of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint through which a significant portion of the world's oil passes daily. Any meaningful disruption to shipping lanes in this area could lead to immediate and sharp increases in fuel costs for consumers and businesses worldwide. For Singapore, an economy heavily reliant on imported energy, these price fluctuations pose a direct risk to inflation and logistics costs.

Beyond the energy sector, broader stock markets have also felt the pressure. Investors are moving away from riskier assets like technology stocks, opting instead for safer havens such as gold or government bonds. This shift in sentiment highlights the uncertainty surrounding how long the current tit-for-tat dynamic will persist and whether it will escalate into a full-scale regional war.

Looking ahead, market analysts are waiting for signs of de-escalation or further diplomatic intervention. While the immediate price jump reflects the fear of supply shortages, the long-term impact on the global economy will depend on whether the conflict remains contained or spills over into broader regional infrastructure. For now, the energy market remains on high alert for any new developments.