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Questioning the Impact of Continued Category A Supply Cuts on Mainstream Buyers

Published July 24, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC

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While the overall increase in the COE quota may appear positive on paper, the persistent decline in Category A supply raises significant concerns for the average Singaporean household. Category A is intended to be the accessible tier for mainstream, smaller-engine vehicles, yet it has now faced three consecutive quarters of supply cuts. For many families and first-time car buyers, this trend creates a barrier to entry that feels increasingly disconnected from the needs of the general public.

Critics argue that the current formula, which relies heavily on past deregistrations, may be too rigid to account for the social impact of high vehicle costs. When the supply of Category A certificates shrinks, premiums are often driven upward, effectively pricing out those who rely on a car for daily commuting or family needs. This creates a situation where vehicle ownership becomes a luxury reserved for the affluent, while the middle class is forced to navigate an increasingly expensive and competitive bidding environment.

Furthermore, the disparity between the rising supply in Category B and the falling supply in Category A highlights a potential misalignment in the system. If the goal is to ensure equitable access to transport, the current mechanism seems to favor those who can afford larger, more powerful vehicles, while penalizing those who opt for more modest, fuel-efficient cars. There is a growing call for the authorities to consider more flexible interventions that prioritize the needs of mainstream buyers, rather than relying solely on a mathematical model that may inadvertently exacerbate affordability issues. Without a more nuanced approach, the public may continue to face the frustration of rising costs despite official reports of a 'slight increase' in the total quota.