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Warning against the risks of One Nation’s budget projections

Published July 11, 2026 at 10:33 AM UTC

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Critics and fiscal experts have expressed significant concern regarding the mathematical foundation of One Nation’s $90 billion savings plan. Skeptics argue that the proposed cuts are based on optimistic assumptions that fail to account for the complexities of the federal budget or the legal and social consequences of dismantling key government agencies.

Economists warn that the sudden abolition of departments such as the Department of Climate Change and the National Indigenous Australians Agency could lead to severe service gaps and legal challenges. There is also apprehension that the proposed reforms to the National Disability Insurance Scheme could disproportionately affect vulnerable Australians, potentially shifting costs to state governments or increasing long-term social expenditures.

Furthermore, the reliance on these savings to fund tax cuts and infrastructure projects is viewed by many as a high-risk strategy. If the projected savings fail to materialize—a scenario many analysts consider likely—the government could face a massive budget shortfall, forcing either a reversal of promised tax relief or an increase in national debt.

Accountability-focused observers emphasize that policy proposals of this magnitude require rigorous, independent verification. They argue that presenting such figures without a clear, transparent roadmap for implementation risks misleading the public and destabilizing the economy. For these critics, the plan represents a populist approach that prioritizes short-term political messaging over the realities of responsible fiscal management.