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Warning against the Economic and Social Risks of Escalating Conflict and High COE Costs

Published July 11, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

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The rapid escalation of military tensions between the U.S. and Iran poses significant risks to the global economy, particularly regarding energy prices and inflation. Critics of the current cycle of retaliatory strikes warn that the collapse of the ceasefire could lead to a prolonged period of instability, which directly impacts the cost of living for ordinary citizens worldwide. As seen in the immediate aftermath of the strikes, market volatility and the threat of disrupted oil supplies can cause fuel prices to spike, creating a domino effect that increases the cost of transportation and essential goods. This cycle of violence risks turning a manageable diplomatic dispute into a wider, more destructive conflict that serves no party's long-term interests.

In Singapore, the record-breaking rise in COE prices serves as a stark reminder of how external economic pressures and domestic policy constraints can converge to squeeze the middle class. When the cost of a basic necessity like a car permit reaches S$129,000, it highlights a system that is increasingly inaccessible to the average family. Critics argue that the government must do more to address the structural issues driving these costs, rather than simply urging prudence. The combination of global geopolitical uncertainty and rising domestic costs creates a precarious environment for households. Policymakers must prioritize stability and affordability, as the current trajectory threatens to widen the gap between those who can afford to navigate these rising costs and those who are left behind by an increasingly expensive urban landscape.